تطبيقات السلاسل الزمنية علي الايرادات النقدية لشركة الخطوط البحرية السودانية المحدودة في الفترة من 1974م الي 2001م

Abstract

ABSTRACT The research deals with "The Applications of Time series in the Financial Revenues of Sudan Shipping Line C0. in The Period 1974 to 2001 ". The research contains five chapters: the first one includes the problem of the research, its objectives, study hypotheses, frame of the study and prior studies. The Second Chapter devotes to the establishment and development of the company, its capital, fleet progress, operational and commercial development and the fleet building fund, also the Company strategic dimensions such as the Economical, Political, national Security and the Cultural dimensions. Beside that the local and international obstacles have been facing the Company up to now. In addition to the agreements, projects, financial performance and the situation of the Company loans had been achieved. The future plan include the integrated and specialized services projects. The current problems and the proposed solutions had been added. V ' The Third Chapter contains the definition of time series, its components such as the secular trend, seasonal, random and cyclical variations. Also, the importance of the time series analysis, its models, the secular trend estimation methods such as the graphic, semi — average, moving averages and the least squares methods. Also, this chapter devote to the correlation and determination coefficients and F, t tests. In addition to, the properties of estimator and finally the econometric problems. The fourth Chapter represents the results of the data analysis which is multi regression analysis. The fifth chapter, the last, deals with the conclusion and the recommendations. The references and appendixes are in the end of the research.