اتجاهات تغيير النظم السياسية العربية في ظل صراع المصالح العالمية 2011م -2015م

Abstract

ABSTRACT This study aims to build a typical perception, for the movement of Arab political change, And review the directions of change in the region in light of the interests of global conflict, intemal, regional and international variables, And its impact on the countries of the Arab Spring, so it was a concem for political change in the region and what objectives it will achieve, of freedom, social justice, democratic governance model, political stability, peaceful rotation of power, and a real popular participation pervades the Arab world. The importance of research is to shed light on the issue of global conflict of interests in the Arab world region and its repercussions on the Arab social movement. ' The research problem is how to achieve a fundamental change as a goal led the Arab popular revolutions, and through that change of public service issues, popular participation, and the peaceful transfer of power after toppling the dictatorship, and the establishment of democratic systems. The study is built on a basic hypothesis, which is that the global conflict of interest in the region represents the biggest obstacle to political change directions. Thus, the interventions and the effects of the global centers of influence, in order to achieve its interests in the region has created a political, social and economic reality hindered the processes of change. The study relied__on sources of information on primary sources, was the releases, and other secondary sources collected from multiple sources, including field reconnaissance sources. V

The research problem lies in the importance of the change as a central objective led the Arab people’s revolutions .And through it accidentally popular achieve, dropping dictatorship and the establishment of democratic systems. The results of the study confirmed that monopolize power and political exclusion and lack of reforms and innovation in systems, deteriorating economic conditions, high poverty and unemployment rates, key factors in the revolutions. The lack of political consensus and divisions and conflicts have affected the management of the transitional period, led to negative trends in the change, chaos and instability, and that the youth have an important political role in the movement of change. There is also a popular political consciousness of the fundamental rights, freedom and social justice. There is also an active role of external factor in the positive transformation in some countries and, and on the hand, there is an external negative role, effect the direction of change towards negative.