Browsing by Author "Alsamani Alswar Altahir Muhi Aldiyn"

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    A mathematical model for (COVID-19) transmission dynamics: A case study of India
    (Al-Neelain University, 2022-10) Alsamani Alswar Altahir Muhi Aldiyn
    Abstract In this study, we present a mathematical model to predict and controlling the transmission dynamics of the Corona virus in India using epidemiological data. We perform a local and global stability analysis of the disease-free equilibrium point and endemic equilibrium point by means of the basic reproduction number. We performed sensitivity analysis of the model parameters to determine the most influential parameters in the transmission of the disease.The model simulation shows that the disease transmission rate is the most impact parameter on the basic reproduction number. Our model predicts, based on the estimated data, that during a period of 80 days, the Corona virus will reach its highest peak in India and after that it will reach a plateau but will continue for a long period.